Predictum
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Prediction markets
9 active markets
· category “Oil”
How it works
How to trade
Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31?
40+
99%
30+
52%
5 more
$978K
Vol.
Jul 31
oil
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
54 trading now
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?
12%
chance
Yes
No
$687K
Vol.
Aug 31
oil
Potential payout
$25
→
$217
61 trading now
Crude Oil all time high by...?
6%
chance
Yes
No
$1.68M
Vol.
Dec 31
oil
Potential payout
$25
→
$172
60 trading now
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
27%
chance
Yes
No
$250K
Vol.
Sep 30
oil
Potential payout
$25
→
$94
45 trading now
US reissues Iran oil sales sanction relief by...?
11%
chance
Yes
No
$37K
Vol.
Aug 31
oil
Potential payout
$25
→
$79
49 trading now
Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of July?
0-20
70%
20-40
21%
3 more
$144K
Vol.
Jul 31
oil
Potential payout
$25
→
$36
52 trading now
How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of July 13?
<100
78%
100-124
11%
3 more
$9.4K
Vol.
Jul 19
oil
Potential payout
$25
→
$32
37 trading now
Which month will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal?
No Return to Normal Traffic in 2026
46%
December
13%
5 more
$45K
Vol.
Dec 31
oil
Potential payout
$25
→
$55
41 trading now
How many ships transit Bab el-Mandeb Strait week of July 20?
240-249
36%
230-239
35%
4 more
NEW
$318.56
Vol.
Jul 26
oil
Potential payout
$25
→
$70
34 trading now
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